Given that the Oscars have ended (and what an ending), naturally the next step is for me to foolhardily predict what will be nominated next year. Since most of these movies have not been seen and only small details are known about them, who knows how close I’ll be. BUT why not try? (I’ve got to find some way to be invested, right? Since obviously without something like this I’d give up and never watch movies until the Oscar nominees are announced.)
Call Me By Your Name
Untitled Detroit Riots Kathryn Bigelow Project
The Kidnapping of Edgardo Mortara
These are a mix of 2 films that I’ve seen (and LOVE) and then 8 that I think have a decent shot at being nominated based on descriptions, trailers, involved parties, etc. Some of this is stuff that I hope gets nominated and obviously this is all very far in advance and therefore shooting in the dark (with some insight from obsessive movie watching and reading about film). Do I think Logan will get nominated? Not really. Do I think it would be deserving of a nomination? Absolutely. I’m a bit more optimistic about Get Out, which might have enough political capital to push it into the field (and is absolutely deserving of award attention, less likely here, but more probable in the original screenplay category).
Gary Oldman, Darkest Hour
Benedict Cumberbatch, The Current War
John Boyega, Untitled Detroit Riots Kathryn Bigelow Project
Chadwick Boseman, Marshall
Daniel Day-Lewis, Untitled Paul Thomas Anderson Project
Just look at a picture of Oldman as Churchill and tell me he won’t be nominated. This could be a breakout year and roles for John Boyega and Chadwick Boseman. Also, it’s never a good idea to bet against award attention for Daniel Day-Lewis.
Jessica Chastain, Molly’s Game
Jennifer Lawrence, Mother!
Allison Williams, Get Out
Brie Larson, The Glass Castle
Rooney Mara, Mary Magdalene
Most of these actresses have been in awards conversations before, so nothing too surprising there (I mean, it’ll depend on which performances are solid and which aren’t, since there’s loads of other worthy actresses in stuff coming out this year that I didn’t put here). Allison Williams is an outlier and not a safe bet by any means, but she delivers a phenomenal performance and deserves attention.
Jordan Peele, Get Out
Darren Aronofsky, Mother!
Katheryn Bigelow, Untitled Detroit Riots Kathryn Bigelow Project
Sofia Coppola, The Beguiled
Joe Wright, Darkest Hour
Mostly names that have been in conversations before and are deserving of attention. Nolan could squeeze in here easily and Peele is, again, not a likely contender, but so worthy.
BEST SUPPORTING ACTOR
Joaquin Phoenix, Mary Magdalene
Patrick Stewart, Logan
Oscar Isaac, Suburbicon
Woody Harrelson, The Glass Castle
Cillian Murphy, Dunkirk
This was a far tougher race to predict and I totally guessed (since it’s less clear what roles are main or supporting and I have no idea what’s going to be good, obviously). BUT Patrick Stewart (who probably won’t be nominated) acts the hell out of his role in Logan and deserves an Oscar.
BEST SUPPORTING ACTRESS
Elle Fanning, The Beguiled
Shohreh Aghdashloo, The Promise
Michelle Williams, Wonderstruck
Mary J. Blige, Mudbound
Dafne Keen, Logan
Basically the same as Best Supporting Actor, with Dafne Keen also delivering a remarkably nuanced performance (for anyone, especially for a child) in Logan. Mary J. Blige’s role in Mudbound received rave reviews at Sundance.
The Death of Stalin
Song to Song
Untitled Asgar Farhadi Project
Murder on the Orient Express
Star Wars: The Last Jedi
Battle of the Sexes
The Glass Castle
The Greatest Showman
The Mountain Between Us
Valerian and the City of a Thousand Planets
Blade Runner 2049
Beauty and the Beast
Other movies that are coming out this year that may be in the awards conversation and may not, but that I think are worth keeping on your radar if you want to be informed for awards season. Also, things that I find interesting to some level or another. Especially Suburbicon, which sounds like all my favorite things combined together (Clooney directed, Coen written, starring Matt Damon, Oscar Isaac, and Josh Brolin in 1950s suburbia-set crime mystery with murder, blackmail, revenge, and betrayal? How could I not watch it?).